Colts vs. Falcons: NFL Week 10 Odds and Prediction
The NFL heads overseas in Week 10 as the Indianapolis Colts "host" the Atlanta Falcons at the Berlin Olympic Stadium on November 9. Indianapolis recently experienced only its second loss of the season, falling 27-20 at Pittsburgh after committing six offensive turnovers—two more than in their first eight games combined.
The Falcons, now 3-5, narrowly lost to the New England Patriots. Despite covering the spread as 5.5-point underdogs, they remain in third place in the NFC South.
Game Analysis and Prediction
Given the Falcons' weak rush defense and the Colts' strong running game, the prediction leans toward the Atlanta Falcons spread (+5.5, -110). However, betting on this game feels risky, especially with Daniel Jones leading the Colts. Public betting heavily favors Indianapolis, making Atlanta a significant underdog.
"Pittsburgh showed that a decent pass rush can get to Jones. If there’s hope for the Falcons, it’s that the offense takes a lead and uses the pass rush to retain the advantage."
One major concern is the Falcons' difficulty in stopping the run. Before this game, Geoff Ulbrich's defense ranked 24th in rush defense DVOA, while Indianapolis ranks second in run offense, according to ftnfantasy.com.
Key Points
- Week 10 matchup held in Berlin, Germany.
- Colts recently lost 27-20 to Pittsburgh with six turnovers.
- Falcons are 3-5 after a close loss to the Patriots.
- Prediction leans to Falcons covering the spread (+5.5).
- Concerns over Falcons' poor rush defense versus Colts' strong run game.
Author’s Summary
The game features a notable clash of the Colts' powerful running attack against the Falcons' struggling rush defense, making Atlanta a risky but plausible underdog pick.